Exit poll Tripura, Meghalaya, Nagaland 2018: The political landscape of India's North-East may soon undergo a sea change if the latest exit poll predictions in the three states get right.
Exit poll Tripura, Meghalaya, Nagaland 2018: The political landscape of India’s North-East may soon undergo a sea change if the latest exit poll predictions in the three states get right. Polling in Left-ruled Tripura took place on 18 February, while Meghalaya and Nagaland went to polls on 27 February. The exit poll results, which were released on Tuesday evening, have suggested an unprecedented political situation in the North-East.
The BJP is already ruling, along with allies, in Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh, and Assam. The exit poll results show BJP and its allies may be able to form governments in Meghalaya, Nagaland, and Tripura as well. This means for the first time BJP may rule in six out of seven north-east states, which are also often referred to as “seven sisters” of India.
Here’s what the Exit polls for Tripura, Meghalaya, Nagaland say:
Tripura vote share:
JanKiBaat-NewsX: Left front -45-46%; BJP-IPFT 51%; Others 2-3%
AxisMyIndia: Left front – 40%; BJP-IPFT-49%; Others 11%
CVoter: Left front -44.3%; BJP-IPFT – 42.8%; Others 7.2%
Tripura seat share:
JanKiBaat-NewsX: Left front -45-46%; BJP-IPFT 35-45; Others 2-3%
AxisMyIndia: Left front – 14-23; BJP-IPFT-44-50-; Others 11%
CVoter: Left front -26-34; BJP-IPFT – 24-32; Congress – 0-2
Two out of three surveys show BJP is set to storm into power in the Manik Sarkar-led Left bastion. The third survey, however, shows a photo finish between the Left front and BJP-IPFT.
Meghalaya seat share:
JanKiBaat-NewsX: NPP – 23-27 seats; BJP 8-12; Congress 13-17
CVoter: Congress – 13-19; NPP – 17-23; BJP – 4-8; UDP-HSPDP – 8-12; Others 5-9
Both surveys show that NPP has an edge while the BJP will make significant gains in the state. Now, NPP is a part of BJP-led North-East Democratic Alliance. Both parties didn’t agree on a pre-poll alliance. But if they win the numbers of seats predicted by the exit polls, NEDA may easily form the government in the state.
Nagaland seat share:
JanKiBaat-NewsX: BJP-NDPP 27-32; ruling NPF – 20-25; Congress 0-2; other 5-7
CVoter: NDPP-BJP- 25-31; NPF – 19-25; Congress – 0-4; Others 0-6
Both surveys show a complete rout of the Congress, while the BJP-NDPP alliance is likely to get a majority on its own. The NPF, which may win 19-25 seats, is also a part of NEDA. In case the BJP-NDPP falls short of numbers, the alliance will hope for support from other, or even NPF.
All three states have 60 members each in their respective Legislative Assemblies. A party needs 31 seats to form a government in these states.
Counting of votes for Meghalaya, Tripura, Nagaland elections will take place on March 3.